Action, Reaction & Pullback Entry Page 4 Forex Factory

Summarizing some free trading idea resources I've been using

I've been following many free resources on youtube and twitter to generate trading ideas. Some of them are suspicious; some are more like boasting their wining trades but never post any losing trades. I see many people ask about trading ideas/resources, so I want to briefly share some resources I find useful.

Twitter resources:
  1. @ TicTocTick

  1. @ tradingwarz

  1. @ traderstewie

Youtube resources:
  1. Conquer trading and investing.

  1. Blaze Capital:
Other notes:
  1. The scalping trades in the morning is not very suitable for small accounts since they will trade for example 100 shares of BA (~160) to scalp a few dollars per share.
  2. Even though the stocks on their weekly watchlist does well very, one still need to come up with an actionable plan. Very often say they recommend stock A on Sunday, and on Monday it already gaps up big. They sometimes do YOLO options -- big risk big rewards-- options can go to 0.
  3. Besides the free content, everyone can get a free one-week trial for their paid membership, or a 2-week free trial by winning a lottery game on their youtube ( what I did) or knowing someone in their group and get a referral. What I like about the group: (i) very frequently updates each day on SPY and stocks on the watchlist. (ii) all their positions, Profit / Loss are very transparent. I learned a lot about how to manage trades by observing their live trades. (iii) There are many very experienced traders in the group posting their trading ideas, plans, entry/exit, and there are many live discussions. (iv) There's a "helpdesk" in the group where members' questions will be answered in minutes. I often ask about my trading plan, entries/ targets.

Other resources:
  1. Shadow trader free newsletter

I've spent much time looking for free contents, and I like the ones above. Also looking forward to hearing about other good/bad resources. I might also update this post if there are enough interests. NFA
submitted by Busy-Valuable to Daytrading [link] [comments]

Loss Strategy

Hi everyone, I'm a sort of new trader to Forex. I've had my experiences in the past with it but I decided to take a break after basically breaking all the rules of what NOT to do when trading everything and now came back with a clearer head.
I've taken the time to sit down, pick a time frame, pick a couple of main pairs, set my R ratio, designate certain times and days to be on the markets, and have developed a nice little strategy over the last month. I've been backtesting it over the course of the last 6 months, plus a random 4 month period in the last two years.
I noticed however, that most of my losses (a solid 80% or so) could have either been avoided by using a small trailing stop loss or were just bad entries that experienced an immediate pullback. I'm not using price action but rather SMAs as I feel more comfortable with these. My current win rate is give or take about 58% with a 2:1 reward ratio, and Im trying to figure out if I should just live with the losses or try and control the ones that seem to be stupid losses.
Thanks in advance and to all of you, I hope you're blessed with happy and profitable trading!
submitted by Fsacco0726 to Forex [link] [comments]

EURUSD Short - 4.5%

EURUSD Short - 4.5%
Great to see such an amazing forex community here!

Here is my EURUSD short from yesterday with my analysis - 4.5% RR

Confluences for the trade:
  • Previous day was a strong bearish candle (harami candle) at a break and retest area. This also created a lower high and a new daily structure resistance.
  • 4h has shown price slowing down at this area and created a lower high and a head and shoulders pattern
  • 1h gave a pullback and then sellers coming back in for an entry.

Daily chart
4h chart - rough forecast the night before
1h chart
Let me know if you guys have any questions!
submitted by ryan_irani to Forex [link] [comments]

Since I can't go to work - Day 1

Since I can't go to work - Day 1
Previous posts: Intro

Yesterday I took positions long in NZDJPY and GBPJPY and set a pending order sell grid under my entries. I'd entered both pairs due to them being in intra day trend upwards and having made new breakouts. Breakouts can lead to another move up. They can also retrace and this means stops are best outside of the range of the last move.

GBPJPY was fully profitable. It filled the sell orders and took profit on them and the buy closed at a profit of around 1%.
The hedge orders came into effect once the first pullback turned into a lower low. The target for them was the next support level. Price reversed from the support without hitting my stop loss under it.

NZDJPY was partly profitable. It filled all sell orders and only one hit target. So it ran up at 1/3 of the initial risk to hit take profit. I have now sold another position at the resistance and adjusted my take profits on the lower sells to close at reduced loss. If I am stopped out all positions this is a bit over break even and if it retraces a bit over 1% is gained.

I want to keep buying NZDJPY up to 67 and I want to start to sell a bit over 67. When I am either stopped out or price retraces to let me out without loss I will then set up my next grid of orders to target this move. Either buying breakouts with a grid of orders to hedge retracement or buying retracement with orders to hedge reversal.

All closed trades so far. Open trades have around $250 at risk (close to stop loss now but resistance 67.75 maybe enough to give some retrace.
submitted by SetCBDFree to Forex [link] [comments]

[educational] Stretgies for day trading based on Technical Analysis

[educational] Stretgies for day trading based on Technical Analysis

1. Breakout

Breakout strategies center around when the price clears a specified level on your chart, with increased volume. The breakout trader enters into a long position after the asset or security breaks above resistance. Alternatively, you enter a short position once the stock breaks below support.
After an asset or security trades beyond the specified price barrier, volatility usually increases and prices will often trend in the direction of the breakout.
You need to find the right instrument to trade. When doing this bear in mind the asset’s support and resistance levels. The more frequently the price has hit these points, the more validated and important they become.

Entry Points

This part is nice and straightforward. Prices set to close and above resistance levels require a bearish position. Prices set to close and below a support level need a bullish position.

Plan your exits

Use the asset’s recent performance to establish a reasonable price target. Using chart patterns will make this process even more accurate. You can calculate the average recent price swings to create a target. If the average price swing has been 3 points over the last several price swings, this would be a sensible target. Once you’ve reached that goal you can exit the trade and enjoy the profit.

2. Scalping

One of the most popular strategies is scalping. It’s particularly popular in the forex market, and it looks to capitalise on minute price changes. The driving force is quantity. You will look to sell as soon as the trade becomes profitable. This is a fast-paced and exciting way to trade, but it can be risky. You need a high trading probability to even out the low risk vs reward ratio.
Be on the lookout for volatile instruments, attractive liquidity and be hot on timing. You can’t wait for the market, you need to close losing trades as soon as possible.

3. Momentum

Popular amongst trading strategies for beginners, this strategy revolves around acting on news sources and identifying substantial trending moves with the support of high volume. There is always at least one stock that moves around 20-30% each day, so there’s ample opportunity. You simply hold onto your position until you see signs of reversal and then get out.
Alternatively, you can fade the price drop. This way round your price target is as soon as volume starts to diminish.
This strategy is simple and effective if used correctly. However, you must ensure you’re aware of upcoming news and earnings announcements. Just a few seconds on each trade will make all the difference to your end of day profits.

4. Reversal

Although hotly debated and potentially dangerous when used by beginners, reverse trading is used all over the world. It’s also known as trend trading, pull back trending and a mean reversion strategy.
This strategy defies basic logic as you aim to trade against the trend. You need to be able to accurately identify possible pullbacks, plus predict their strength. To do this effectively you need in-depth market knowledge and experience.
The ‘daily pivot’ strategy is considered a unique case of reverse trading, as it centers on buying and selling the daily low and high pullbacks/reverse.

5. Using Pivot Points

A day trading pivot point strategy can be fantastic for identifying and acting on critical support and/or resistance levels. It is particularly useful in the forex market. In addition, it can be used by range-bound traders to identify points of entry, while trend and breakout traders can use pivot points to locate key levels that need to break for a move to count as a breakout.

Calculating Pivot Points

A pivot point is defined as a point of rotation. You use the prices of the previous day’s high and low, plus the closing price of a security to calculate the pivot point.
Note that if you calculate a pivot point using price information from a relatively short time frame, accuracy is often reduced.
So, how do you calculate a pivot point?
  • Central Pivot Point (P) = (High + Low + Close) / 3
You can then calculate support and resistance levels using the pivot point. To do that you will need to use the following formulas:
  • First Resistance (R1) = (2*P) – Low
  • First Support (S1) = (2*P) – High
The second level of support and resistance is then calculated as follows:
  • Second Resistance (R2) = P + (R1-S1)
  • Second Support (S2) = P – (R1- S1)


When applied to the FX market, for example, you will find the trading range for the session often takes place between the pivot point and the first support and resistance levels. This is because a high number of traders play this range.
It’s also worth noting, this is one of the systems & methods that can be applied to indexes too. For example, it can help form an effective S&P day trading strategy

6. Moving Average Crossover

You will need three moving average lines:
  • One set at 20 periods – This is your fast moving average
  • One set at 60 periods – This is your slow moving average
  • One set at 100 periods – This is your trend indicator
This is one of the moving averages strategies that generates a buy signal when the fast moving average crosses up and over the slow moving average. A sell signal is generated simply when the fast moving average crosses below the slow moving average.
So, You’ll open a position when the moving average line crosses in one direction and you’ll close the position when it crosses back the opposite way.
How can you establish there’s definitely a trend? You know the trend is on if the price bar stays above or below the 100-period line.

the source :
submitted by JalelTounsi to ethfinance [link] [comments]

GBPJPY Trend Invalidation Signals and Contingency Plans

GBPJPY Trend Invalidation Signals and Contingency Plans
Took multiple losses on GBPJPY as it ran through all the trend continuation setups, and the persistence of how it has done this move is something that gives us reason to re-assess trade plans, and be diligent on risks as well as opportunities the conditions we are now in may present.

I feel like I've seen this movie before. Usually when getting squeezed in a trend continuation, there are a few hits you have to take and then there is a big pay off. As a general rule, the better the move will be the harder it is to position for. So early losses on this were all within the acceptable margin of error in this strategy (I think I also made setup errors, which was bad. I can do better on that). After we ran some more setups (that looked fully valid at time of execution), I noped out. Stopped selling, and waited to see what happened.

Last time I remember being on the wrong side of such a fierce move of this form on GBPJPY was similar. Done well shorting, scalped some buys at a support, then reversed into the "correction" - and it went parabolic against me. I remember this well, because in the coming week there were news reports of the GBP having it's best day/week in a yeadecade (I forget specifics, but GBP was in the news for the rally). In the week after that, the high was made .... because that was when Brexit happened.

What happened there, from a charting perspective, is we went into a 2 week corrective cycle and then started another impulsive wave. If this happens we may see something spectacular in GBPJPY in the near term. This may feature a record breaking rally (or at least strong one) into 145, and even 155 (current price 130). From there, we may start a new trend taking the market into the large chart forecasts of 89 and 61.

I can retire if that happens. Absolutely. I'm going to plan, with various contingencies, for something like that possibly happening. In this post I''ll show what warnings signs we got over the last days as sellers. Where our main dangers will be as buyers. The levels as which we can be more sure buyers have won out in the short term, and also where the possible spikes low could come and how we'd trade them / what we'd do next.

I'll use MT4 charting for this analysis, since it will require a lot of different fibs and patterns assessment, I find fibs on MT4 quicker to work with than cTrader.

The Big Gartley Pattern

So the first thing we want to establish is where the buyers are coming from. Double bottom is accurate, but a bit vague. If we look closer, we can see the daily chart pinging off the 61.8 and 76 fib levels. This would be consistent with a Gartley pattern, and this would be a bullish reversal pattern (If successful). We have a couple probable scenarios here. One is a big break and move lower, and the other is a persistent move up in a small time frame trending chart form.
Let's look closer and see what the last days of trading have suggested to us about this.
Here is the 1 hour chart around the 76 level.
We've possibly formed the start of a second trend leg in the recent move up. Our best move here would be wait for a dip, buy into that and then run the trend upwards. We should see more strong moves like today, and these should be in nice structured form giving us easy entries and exits. This would be a good scenario for trading.
If a spike out is to form from this level, we'd now have it in a clear butterfly pattern. So we'd look for a 1.61 extension of this swing giving us a projected low of 125 area. This would be a harder move to trade. We either have to keep selling into the resistance levels and risk multiple small losses, or wait for momentum downwards and use breakout strategies. I feel method one has failed this week. We can perhaps look more at method two in a close under 128 (which will not happen if we are to trend).
As buyers, the possibility of this take out low move is our main danger. We have to be aware this can happen and it will be a fast move if it does. Risk control is important.

Bullish Scenarios

For now I am going to work on trade plans for if price remains above 128.50 and indicates bullish momentum. I want to work on targets and then reversal areas.

When we use the analysis above and consider we may be entering into big corrective leg, we can consider that this might be a 'ping swing' like move.
Remember the main characteristics of a ping swing. It's very strong. The move is parabolic. There's a spike out of major levels, and then there is an impulse leg.
Weigh that against the price action I described the last time I seen the same setup on GBBPJPY running into Brexit. The market followed that same template of price movements, and then came down in spectacular fashion.
This is where our main opportunity is, and this is where it seem the smart way to be betting is at this time. If the lows made here are taken out, we can look for positions around 125 to load up for this (a spike out and rally is still valid).
In the immediate term, we can just buy dips. Use tight stops and get high RR if it runs up, have very small losses to the downside. A correction from 130.20 to 128.50 gives us a great buying opportunity to get started in this move (buying over 130 but under 130.60 I think is a bad trade. Better to wait)
If we can establish a good buy position and see a ping swing move (which would be 2,000 pips - and GBPJPY can do this without many pullbacks, it's wild) the profit potential on this is enormous. Very small risks can be taken for extreme profits on the other end. If we do this and make good profits in the run up to that, we can then use a portion of these profits to position aggressively on the 61.8 spike out, and maybe have big positions in a decade long breakout to the downside in GBPJPY.
Whether or not there is a spike out low, when buying our first target is 145.00. This is either buying from 128.50 or 125 if that trade does not work out.
It would be very dangerous to sell if there is a spike out low into 125. Selling here could be brutal in the whip against you (as could selling in the leg we have but not getting out quick). For some perspective on this, GBPJPY went from 145 to 160 in only a couple strong trading days the last time we had conditions similar to this. The possibility of this, makes it a bad time to be a seller - horrible time to be a stubborn one.

Wrap up.

No buys 130 - 130.50. Possible buys if there is a break of this.
Sells possible in this area, but risky. Not great RR. I'd not bother.
Buy level 1 - 128.50. 143 could be swing target here.
128 major bear break area. Danger of fast move here. Cut buys.
125 if met in spike, big buying area. Target 143 and stop 123 (tighter with price action).
145 first major upside resis. If we break this, 155.
Absolutely no selling into parabolic moves on GBPJPY at levels not mentioned here, isn't worth it.
submitted by whatthefx to u/whatthefx [link] [comments]

Forex Scalping Trading Stategy

Forex Scalping Trading Stategy
Dear Traders,
My name is Ludovico and I am an associate of Horizon Trading team. Today, I would like to share with you a scalping technique that will give you an advantage in following price action fluctuations. Most importantly, this article will focus on fast timeframes trading tactics, how to spot important key levels and trigger your positions.
So, do scalping and price action go well together?
Considering that price action aims to predict what price is doing right now and where is heading, fast mindset and quick analysis become crucial; scalp trading is about the same thing. A scalp trade will take approximately 1 to 30 minutes, so to be effective and consistent in this discipline one must be reacting rapidly to price movements. Therefore, scalp requires quick analysis, quick responses and quick decisions, and at its core there is price action, which as well is all about speed and efficiency.
Now let s move on today’s topic on how to steadily understand fast trading potential earning set ups and to become a killer scalper.

What is scalping trading?

Scalping is a trading style that specialize in profiting off small price changes. It requires high level of concentration, because, due to its speed, a trader must have a strict entry exit strategy, otherwise one large loss could cancel all the many small gains in a blink of an eye.
The main features of scalping are:
Less exposure, lesser risk: A smaller exposure to price fluctuation will reduce the odds to run into adverse events.
Smaller moves are easier to forecast: Because like every market forex works on principles of supply and demands, a higher imbalance is needed to generate bigger price changes.
Smaller fluctuations are more regular than wider ones: Even in days when markets tend to less volatile, working with smaller timeframes such as (M1, M5, M15 & M30) will still grant chance of earning more frequently.
While swing trading relies on big price moves, therefore aiming for long trend following a scalper will trade that fluctuation continuously. Price action comes into play here, a solid scalp trader must be very aware of level of support and resistance and when the price could bounce off.
See image Below:

Figure 1: Support & Resistance, XAUUSD, M1, (23rd July 2019
In order to better find these areas a comparison between timeframes is necessary considering that is always advantageous to highlights the most recent zones of support & resistance (2 to 5 previous days)
Once understanding levels strategy become easier to follow, let’s find out.

Simple scalping and Horizon X scalping pattern

When trading trends continuously, important is to gauge market signals which indicate the trend is strong, opening to new potential earning scenarios for investors. When noticing price is coming back to retest important key levels forming pullbacks, a trader should always look out for entry-points.

Scalping pullbacks

Scalp traders must focus on key resistance and support level to find entry point while trading pullbacks. Here at Trading Academy we developed a system, based on fast moving price action that will enable traders to have successful daily session.
We based our method on understanding where big money players come into action and by following their liquidity volume open winning positions. Horizon X is based on several scalping price patterns which find their fundamentals in risk and money management, key levels and entry points.
See image below:

Figure 2:Scalp trading pullbacks, XAUUSD, M1, (23rd July 2019)
In the picture above I highlight the principle of trading pullbacks in M1 timeframe, this method relies on entering the market in specific hot spot key levels. Even though many traders globally do not take into consideration risk management, our vision is that while scalp trade, investors should follow clear objective rules to be effective, here is one of our coral patterns and its trade management rules.

Horizon X Pattern #3

This pattern aims to gauge momentums, big money players moves, consisting in fast formation of large body candle sticks (black bearish/white bullish)

Figure3: Pattern #3 configuration
To be formed Pattern #3 require several steps to be accomplished by the market before we can enter our position with confidence:
  • First Momentum
When price level is broken out at consolidation level big buyers make the move dragging price level on a rally, usually between 10-15 PIPS (as the image above suggests).
  1. Large candles (bodies)
  2. Mostly of one colour (back/bearish, white/bullish)
  3. Candles close its high/lows of the move
  • Consolidation Period
Within this first part price level is conditioned by the presence of many buyers on one side and sellers on the other stabilizing the price in a narrow range while building up important structure.
  1. Small candles, at least 3
  2. Greater mix between white/black or bullish/bearish candles
  • Second Momentum (breaking the price level at consolidation) – can be bearish or bullish depending on scenario)
When price level is broken out at consolidation level big buyers make the move dragging price level on a rally, usually between 10-15 PIPS (as the image above suggests).
  1. Large candles (bodies)
  2. Mostly of one colour (back/bearish, white/bullish)
  3. Candles close its high/lows of the move
  • Pullback
Price is coming back to retest level at the previous consolidation level and when fractal is formed market is giving investors hints that a good spot to open a position is coming up.
  1. Small candles, at least 3
  2. Greater mix between white/black or bullish/bearish candles

Entering the market

Pattern #3 can be traded by entering the market within the retesting price area at consolidation level, however the tactics would be based more on aggressivity of trader personality and behaviour. In this booklet we will describe the most commonly used one.
Entering in consolidation structure
Market needs more liquidity for further movement and is going deeper toward the structure taking stop losses of weak traders. Smarter investors, however, use these stop losses for their position gaining, entering the market when a fractal is formed.
See image below:

Figure 4: Pattern #3, entering market at consolidation structure, USDCHF H1 (22nd July 2019)
Entering at consolidation boarder
Price touches edges of consolidation and starts to reverse. We would like to open position when fractal is formed.
See image below:

Figure 5: Pattern #3, market entry at consolidation border, GBPUSD M1 (14th Mar 2019)
  • Entering after false break out
Severe stop-loss testing. Big players move price aggressively till the point that it breaks consolidation structure. This is a perfect situation for major traders to enter the market, pushing the price towards its original direction. We will conservatively open trade when the price level reaches back consolidation, forming a fractal.
See image below:

Figure 6: Pattern #3, market entry after false break out, GBPUSD M1 (6th June 2019)

Trade Management

Similarly, we can use 4 elementary exit strategies of our Horizon X Pattern #3.
  1. We will aim for a high structure level from higher timeframes (very good as a second take profit).
  2. For 1-minute timeframe we will take half of our position with 10 points profit as a target and put our stop-loss on break-even for the rest of the position.
  3. Our take profit is based on having ATR 80 %.
  4. Rule of safety. Our first take profit is set to risk-reward ratio 1:1 with a half of position. When the take profit is hit, we are in a risk-free position for the second target.
On the other hand, stop losses will be always places on top of the entry structure to avoid important losses which will likely vanish all the trader day effort.
submitted by Horizon_Trading to u/Horizon_Trading [link] [comments]

Stuck after 2 years. Any suggestions?

Hello everyone, I don't tend to write on Reddit but I'm getting frustrated. I will try to get straight to the point and avoid useless information.
What do you suggest me to do? or What course do you suggest me to take?
I first entered the Forex world aprox 2 years ago, but I started to take it seriously 1 year ago and I can't get profitable, most of the times I'm at breakeven and sometimes I lose more than I win, and i'm beginning to lose hope.
My strategy is a mix of "Akil stokes" and "Jason graystone" style mixed with what I learned from Navin Prythiany Price action and 4CB courses (payed courses).
I always take only trend trades for now, I first look at what we call "the big boy timeframe (higher timeframe)" and stablish the trend, then I go down a timeframe to meassure the momentum of the pullback to get in. After I get the pullback I have different entry techniques, like advance pattern formations, reactions on support/resistance (Navin style), or the simple "higher high higher close" that Graystone use.
Still my trading is bad. Can't get profitable and I dont know what to do next, I dont know how to break that barrier. I dont trade with emotions, I dont move my Stop or take profit UNLESS my rules allow me, I dont get out early, and dont hold longer that I should, I risk 2% of capital per trade (calculated before each trade), I dont revenge trade, I dont hold on weekends, I dont trade pairs with news incomming, etc etc...
I dont use indicators either, just the ATR to set my stop loss.
I would really love some suggestions, I began this month to post all my trades on Tradingview if some of you want to take a look and see how my style is (not sure if its allowed to post other sites in here).
Thank you beforehand, I really don't want to give up after all the time I've spend on this...
submitted by Koutta to Forex [link] [comments]

Trading Double Top and Double Bottom

Trading Double Top and Double Bottom

Trading Double Top and Double Bottom
Double top and Double Bottom are price action pattern formations identified to predict the behavior of the market. As the name suggests, Double Top is when the price action forms two peaks almost equal to each other, and the Double Bottom is when the price action dips to form two consecutive bottoms with only a peak separating the two. Of all the chart pattern formations, Double Top and Double Bottom could pass as one of the easiest-to-identify.

Double Top Identification

Double Top is formed when the market follows the uptrend and then pulls back. The pullback must have created a peak to its left in order to form a trough. The price then again rallies to form the second peak almost equal to the first, then drops again lower than the trough. The second peak, unable to break through the limit set by the first, marks the resistance and reduction in buying, thereby calling out a potential reversal.
Trading Double Top


The right place to draw the neckline is at the lowest point of the pullback. The price rises from the trough to form the second peak and drops back again to the neckline completing the formation of Double Top and the opportunity.


The right time to enter the trade is by the completion of the pattern formation. When the shaky line from the second peak downs to the neckline signifying the uptrend reversal, it plunges deep breaking through the neckline. Shorting is the obvious option for profit since the prices are dropping.


The safest exit with considerable profit is calculated from the neckline with the same value as the height of the peaks.

Stop Loss

In case, worse comes to worst and you misinterpret the chart for a double top, Stop Loss is the measure to keep your loss to the minimum. It is better to limit the loss to the latest peak created within the pattern.

Double Bottom Identification

On contrary to the double top, the double bottom is identified by a dip, followed by a rise, which is again followed by a dip. In the downtrend, the price forms a trough by pulling back to the upside. The price drops again to a point above the first trough unable to drop lower signifying the reducing sellers, thereby marking the downtrend reversal. The price then rallies all the way up until it falls short of buyers or reaches a balancing point.
Trading Double Bottom


Here, Neckline is the plane drawn to connect both troughs through the edge of the middle peak.


Similar to the double top, it is best to enter the trade by the completion of the double bottom. When the price rallies towards the neckline, it goes all the way up breaking through the neckline. So going long at the neckline makes the most of the opportunity.


The position in the uptrend, marked from the neckline with the same value as the height of the troughs, is safe to close the trade.

Stop Loss

Stop Loss for the Double Bottom is set at the recent trough formed inside the pattern to limit the loss which is inevitable.Double Top and Double Bottom are trend reversal patterns, which even the traders who disregard the chart patterns look forward to. These are simple trading patterns and doesn’t require much expertise to be able to identify, but the only shortcoming is that the reward: risk ratio is not too tempting. The ratio can be made favorable by setting stop loss in a much closer position. It is advised to take the trade only when the potential for profit is sound.Start forex trading with the use of demo account before you investing the real capital. That way you can get a feel for the process of trading and decide if trading forex is for you also we provide the best trading platform for beginners. When you're consistently making good trades on the demo account, then you can go live with a real forex account. Limit your losses.
submitted by alfafinancials5 to u/alfafinancials5 [link] [comments]

EUR/USD impending long through 1.1084

Today is one of the days when you can double or destroy an entire account... Let's focus on doubling here ;)
Obviously massive move here. We just made new quarterly highs, SPX is crashing again, we're seeing the first 1h consolidation of this run, and most importantly the Euro has FIIINALLY fought its way out of that god-forsaken range. I think we're set to gain at least another 80 pips into the mid-high 11s before a massive sell-off. 1.11 doesn't show a lot of resistance - the previous high was, IMO, the more significant resistance (ergo this consolidation we just saw). I bet we punch through 1.11 easy-peasy.
Got a 5 mini stop buy at 1.1084 pending. Stoploss is at 1.1074 - I'm expecting this break to be explosive and fast, with little pullback. Here's hoping it is...
That's my first 3 digit trade in Forex! I've never made more than $100 on a Forex trade holy shit! That was a rush I haven't felt since I was daytrading stocks.
I could have traded that a hell of a lot better but I'm not gonna complain lol. I got crazy lucky, to be honest - as you can see I sold 30k manually at 10904, and I forgot to change my lot size when I sold the second portion of my position and accidentally shorted one mini - which I then covered for a profit soon as I realized what I'd done. Worked out!
Oh, also - it got stuffed at .112 so I figured I'd cut it off. I still think we're gonna see higher 11s but I couldn't resist dem 3 digits while I had'em
Edit 2: this 1m consolidation on 11 looks very promising... But for the scalpers, keep in mind that the 2.5 hr consolidation only produced a 50 pip immediate move. This one might be good for 1125 to 115 but be careful, it might fake and start forming a top. I recommend a tight stop below your entry, a true break right here wouldnt grind too much. I'd stay away tho, its late in the run.
submitted by toadkiller to Forex [link] [comments]

Trade Like the Banks

Trade Like the Banks

I’ve been paying more attention to combining the technicals with the fundamentals and near-term sentiment and it’s actually worked out quite well. I’m was finding that I wasn’t getting as many opportunities simply by using sentiment and fundamentals alone and the entries weren’t as exact as I’d like.
I still apply the same trade methods as I did before but I’ve also combined thosewith trend trading and entering on pull-backs. I’m quite pleased with theway that that’s been working. I use, obviously, the fundamentals and thenear-term sentiment as a filter and it’s been working brilliantly.
In the video below there’s a trade that is not a pullback trade per se. I’ll offer more videos on that later. This is just a trade that I made recently on the 10th that was during the bank rate decision by the Bank of England. So, if we take a look back at forex factory we can see that just last week on the 10th theofficial bank rate statement came out. However, I was waiting more for the bank statement afterwards.I didn’t think they would change anything as far as Bank rates and they obviously didn’t. The statement afterwards appeared to be more dovish.
As a result of the more dovish statement, I shorted the pound and longed the Canadian dollar. At the time the Canadian dollar had been fairly strong due to the influence of peaking oil prices. I also held the trade longer than usual. I’m getting more in the habit of doing that. I’m using some of the volume indicators and stochastics to give me an idea along with support/resistance of when to exit. You can see in the video that I got out near a round number. I usually now hold the trades longer, especially if it’s something like a bank rate statement, because they tend to have a longer-term effect. I held this trade for at least three hours ending with a fair amount of pips.
I’ll report more in detail as far as what I’ve been doing with the technicals later but I highly encourage taking a second look at maybe old technical approaches that you may have thrown away . If you start gaining a foothold on the fundamentals the old systems may work great in combination.
andiamolireforex dot com/trade-like-the-banks
submitted by jchiogna to f4forex [link] [comments]

Trade Like the Banks

Trade Like the Banks

I’ve been paying more attention to combining the technicals with the fundamentals and near-term sentiment and it’s actually worked out quite well. I’m was finding that I wasn’t getting as many opportunities simply by using sentiment and fundamentals alone and the entries weren’t as exact as I’d like.I still apply the same trade methods as I did before but I’ve also combined thosewith trend trading and entering on pull-backs. I’m quite pleased with theway that that’s been working. I use, obviously, the fundamentals and thenear-term sentiment as a filter and it’s been working brilliantly.In the video below there’s a trade that is not a pullback trade per se. I’ll offer more videos on that later. This is just a trade that I made recently on the 10th that was during the bank rate decision by the Bank of England. So, if we take a look back at forex factory we can see that just last week on the 10th theofficial bank rate statement came out. However, I was waiting more for the bank statement afterwards.I didn’t think they would change anything as far as Bank rates and they obviously didn’t. The statement afterwards appeared to be more dovish.As a result of the more dovish statement, I shorted the pound and longed the Canadian dollar. At the time the Canadian dollar had been fairly strong due to the influence of peaking oil prices. I also held the trade longer than usual. I’m getting more in the habit of doing that. I’m using some of the volume indicators and stochastics to give me an idea along with support/resistance of when to exit. You can see in the video that I got out near a round number. I usually now hold the trades longer, especially if it’s something like a bank rate statement, because they tend to have a longer-term effect. I held this trade for at least three hours ending with a fair amount of pips.I’ll report more in detail as far as what I’ve been doing with the technicals later but I highly encourage taking a second look at maybe old technical approaches that you may have thrown away . If you start gaining a foothold on the fundamentals the old systems may work great in combination.
andiamolireforex dot com/trade-like-the-banks
submitted by jchiogna to forexzone [link] [comments]

How to Develop a Profitable Bitcoin & Altcoins Daytrading Strategy - Fundamental & Technical Analysis - An Intermediate Tutorial

Abstracted from my blog post. Read the Full Post at: Follow me on Twitter for my latest Bitcoin/Altcoin trading advice @onemanatatime (
Fundamental Analysis
I believe that for an Altcoin to be worth anything at all, it MUST first have technical aspects which are built with the future in mind. This is what solely determines if a cryptocurrency has the potential for the mid to long term. Even with 5 new altcoins launching everyday, you barely see 1 a month that can last even the mid-term.
Then, after that I judge the coins based on 7 mediating factors; developers, community, branding/marketing, popularity/virality, novelty, infrastructure, and liquidity. For more about fundamental analysis and an explanation of these factors, read up on the first few sections in my previous post about picking and trading the next profitable altcoin. In this post, I will focus more on technical analysis and trading strategies instead.
With so many coins out there, I like to use these above factors to weed out all the weaker shitcoins, and focus on altcoins which are substantially different from others, and more importantly, provide more value than other cryptocurrencies. After which, I use Technical Analysis to judge entry/exit positions for trading them.
What else do you think makes a cryptocurrency fundamentally better than another, and more sustainable as a currency?
Technical Analysis
Many will probably agree when I say that the Altcoins market is akin to the "penny stocks" of cryptocurrencies. In this sense, most altcoin markets have much lower liquidity, but have much higher volatility. Since there are over 200 different cryptocurrency markets to date, I prefer to narrow down my list of altcoins to a small handful, and buy under-valued coins or trade the breakouts. You're going to find it really tough to be watching more than 5 altcoins at the same time, so I highly suggest keeping your list small, and adapt your watchlist to the fast changing markets.
If you're new to technical analysis, here's a really good beginner's video on daytrading Penny Stocks, which also explains the basics of chart reading and an introduction to basic trading jargon that I'll be using throughout this post. The important concepts to take note of are resistances & supports, breakouts that coincide with high volume, and the general idea that "what goes up must come down". See video here:
So after you get the basics sorted out, you should be ready to learn how to trade! I'm gonna break this intermediate technical analysis tutorial down into five main portions, and have compiled videos from other trading experts to give even beginners a better overall idea, and teach you all you need to know to devise your own Bitcoin & Altcoins trading strategy.
1. Top Down Analysis
Firstly, lets look at the top down analysis method of reading charts. I always begin by trying to understand the market from a bird eye's view. Compare both charts from a long term period (e.g. 1d) against one from a shorter period (e.g. 15m) to get a holistic view of the market. This will help give you a general perspective of market trends, while peaks & troughs give you an idea of market resistances & supports.
Use these basic resistance & support levels to judge entry/exit prices. In general, previous high and low points are new resistances or support depending on where the price is, and points where u can see big breakouts will be the new short term resistance/support. To get a better idea of what I mean, watch these videos by Jason Stapleton who explains top down analysis, resistances & supports, and structure.
2. Retracements
The concept of retracements is, in my opinion, the most important one that any trading enthusiast must grasp in order to understand how the markets flow. In essence, a retracement is a temporary price movement against the established trend, and helps us understand that the markets move in wave patterns as highlighted by the Elliott Wave Theory. One way to look at it, as highlighted by this video below, is that most price-actions follow a pullback rule to fibonacci retracement levels (38%, 50%, 62%).
The most important concept to take away from this is "what goes up must come down"; that price movements in one direction are always followed by retracements in the opposite direction. Of course, not all movements will follow the same pullbacks, and these levels should only be used as a guide. Here's another video: "Understanding Fibonacci retracement lines:".
So the question then is, how will we know if this counter-movement price action is a retracement or a reversal? There is no way to say for certain...
Read the full post on my blog at:
3. Trading on Volume
Another important concept you need to understand is that large price movements almost always coincide with high trading volume.
With this in mind, this is where the liquidity of an altcoin also comes into play; the higher the trade volume of an altcoin, the lower the spreads, and the more likely you will be able to make some profitable trades from it. In general, the trade volume is a good indicator of, and is proportional to the popularity of the altcoin at the current time.
Apart from the actual trading volume itself, another good indicator is the change in volume over time; if you realize that the trading volume of an altcoin has been steadily increasing over the last few days, it could be an indication that a big price movement is coming up.
4. Breakout Patterns
The last concept I want to share is breakout patterns. Although most people are familiar with this concept, many do not know how to profit from them. This is one of the best tools to use for planning your entry positions, while there are various ways to do so, which are highlighted by these first two videos below:
5. Advanced Trading Strategies
Now comes the fun part: how can we take all that we've learnt so far and put into good use for trading Bitcoin/Altcoins? Here are some pointers for you:
In the next videos, more advanced trading strategies and chart patterns will be shared. These strategies may seem very specific, but my goal is to give you better understanding of how these analysis tools are used, and to give you an idea of how different tools can be used to develop a single trading setup. The specifics are not important; what I hope to achieve is to open up your minds to new ideas, expand your trading knowledge, and ultimately encourage you to explore a diverse variety of trading strategies.
Read up more on some of the main ideas discussed:
Read the full post on my blog at: If you'd like to discuss any ideas or have burning questions, feel free to email me at alvinlee133(at) or hit me up on twitter @onemanatatime.
P.S. If you're new here, make sure to check out my previous posts about Bitcoin & Altcoins daytrading:
P.P.S. If this post helped you, feel free to buy me a cup of coffee!
Cryptsy Trade Key: 9c1e289981a685bf0b8a4e48bc00b35eb1380afa
BTC: 16ka98tnhs9fAjWEXRmEWVrPfTEwmr9orV
LTC: LW4qr8aSfgTwGuU6uvEjnhNKRyJJR9iUbR
submitted by bakedric3 to CryptoMarkets [link] [comments]

AUDUSD Could see new highs this week

Hello forex!
First of all, I want to mention that yes, I do run a website, and yes, I do run a service (neither of which I'm promoting on here, nor will I respond to PM's). But I offer the one thing that all "professional traders" don't.
My Site and Service will always be free (That means I pay for it, not you)
All I am providing through here is charts, updates, levels, and potential ideas with a reasonable entry, and exit.
Now, let's talk AUDUSD:
After a hell of a good week last week, with a big build up of bullish momentum, we're now sitting on support. The beginning of the week started off quite rough with a nice little drop. But on the weekly, it looks like it's just a pullback. As long as we hold this support, we could be seeing a new high this week. I'm long, I'm not advising people to be long, short, you can trade at your own risk. But what I am saying; is that "if I were to place an order, I wouldn't want to see it below 0.7426 support. Losing that support will absorb all the bullish momentum that we're currently holding. But, if we hold this support that we're sitting on, the bigger time frame momentum could kick in and bring us to a new high this week.
edit: I would never advise buying at resistance, or selling at support. With that being said... If you're going to look for a long on AUD pairs, wait for a drop to a level you can identify before you enter - and don't ever blindly enter a trade because someone else says so, do your homework first.
Here are corresponding charts to follow:

If we can close above the lower line, which is the open of the candle that gave the move down. We should chop around up here for the rest of the night and try for the new high.
If we don't close at least above that line, we're going to test what was gained from this morning
If we close above the doji (the higher line) it should be clear sailing to a new high.
There's still 1 hour 2 hrs left in this 4h candle, so I guess there's still time...
Looks like it's still holding support --- --- I still have faith.

update: 9.05PM EST - There's our new high! Hope I was able to help anyone following today.

submitted by FXCourseOnline to Forex [link] [comments]

Setups This Week (29th May - 2nd June)

Hey all, I'm back for another week so let's dive right into it!
Recap from last week
1) GBPUSD: The prediction regarding this pair's consolidation area seems to have been spot-on as we can see the price has moved and adhered to the area between 1.286 and 1.297 quite religiously. There was a brief fake-out that may have netted you a few pips (if you had a good trailing stop), but overall the price has opted to go for the "lower play" and has proceeded to hit the outlined target perfectly for just over 100 pips. I expect the price to rebound back to the consolidation area to retest the "upper play". Graph
2) EURCHF: The expected breakout has continued quite well, going as far as hitting the first target. As expected, there was a brief pullback to the entry price level but I expect it to continue its climb to Targets 2 and 3 over the next few months. Graph
New Setups
1) EURJPY: What we have here are signs of a potential rising wedge formation on EURJPY due to the higher highs and higher lows being formed since the 18th of May. Fibonacci levels applied on a larger timescale seem to show the price working well between the 0.5 and 0.618 levels - an idea supported by the recent rejection of a new high on the 16th and on the 24th. If the pair adheres to the rising wedge formation, we can assume that it will hit at least 3 different targets: Target 1 is a relatively new S&R level that seems to have formed at the beginning of May, Target 2 is a strong S&R level that stretches back a few months and happens to coincide with the 0.382 fib level of the yellow retracement lines, and finally Target 3 which is the area between the 0.236 fib level and the price where the rising wedge originated from.
In a longer-term view, we can see a double-top forming following a price rejection at 125.82. In keeping with how I usually approach double-top formations, there are two targets: A conservative target that is placed at the neckline and an aggressive target that is equidistant from the neckline. Despite all this analysis, the consensus on the Euro remains bullish . However, now that the French elections are behind us we can position ourselves quite nicely if the Euro ends up cooling off and losing momentum. In the event that it stays bullish and breaks through the 125.82, we have a simpler play worth about 65 pips which should tide us over until things clear up. Rising Wedge Play (Medium Term) Entry:124.965 (Price has already been hit but it is still worth a look) TP: 124.554, 123.813, 123.355 SL:125.643 Double Top Play (Long Term) Entry:124.965 TP: 123.074, 120.704 SL:125.643 Graph
2) USDCHF: I've given this pair another look since my last analysis on USDCHF 0.14% very recently hit its final target. Following that last target, we can now see that the price has been consolidating in the area between the 0.382 and 0.236 levels on the blue fibonacci retracements. From here, the price can push up through the 0.382 level to test the upper level of the channel again. The three targets outlined here are all based on important S&R levels that often coincide quite well with the fibonacci retracements on the larger time intervals.
Conversely, the price may opt to break through the 0.236 level with a goal of testing the lower wall of the descending channel . Again, we can 'safely' assume that it will hit three targets that are also derived from a combination of S&R levels and fib levels. What is interesting about this particular idea is that an "upper play" means that there is a strong potential for the formation of a potential wedge (marked by the red triangle). This would mean that the price already hit the wall of the wedge back on the 22nd of May and that the descending channel would be giving way to a falling wedge - which has implications on the long-term plans for this pair. Upper Play Entry: 0.97827 TP: 0.98142, 0.98534, 0.99039 (area) SL: 0.97549 ; Lower Play Entry: 0.96905 TP: 0.96791(area), 0.96286, 0.95503 SL: 0.97145 Graph
I truly hope you guys enjoy the read! Getting a lot of feedback goes a long way in helping me improve the quality and frequency of the posts!
Previous Weeks:
20th - 24th March
27th - 31st March
2nd - 7th April
17th-21st April
24th - 28th April
8th May - 12th May
I wish it was, but this isn't the gospel so please take the necessary precautions when trading
Have a good week and good luck!
submitted by Invictavis to Forex [link] [comments]

James Stanley's "Fingertrap" Scalping Strategy (also good for longer term trading)

I posted this elsewhere a while back, but I thought I'd put it in /forex and not on the blog, because it's my absolute favourite tool in all of Forexland.
James Stanley is a (very good) trader and educator at DailyFX (Twitter: @JStanleyFX). He's also very friendly and helpful on Twitter if you have serious questions.
Here's the link to the original article but what I'm going to do is explain it in a little more detail, show you how James uses it, and then explain how I use it for finding entries on longer term trades and breakouts.
There's also this helpful video you can watch:
Right, so before I explain what it is, here's a checklist for WHEN the Fingertrap strategy is effective:
If the answer to all those questions is yes, you're ready to go:
1: switch to an hourly or 2hr chart, so you can see what movement on the day is like. You should be able to spot a strong directional bias if there is one, and you may have already done analysis to find important support and resistance.
2: Add two indicators: an 8 period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and a 34 period EMA. I don't know why those numbers, and different combinations might work better on different pairs (EUJPY tends to throw a lot of false signals with this, as does gold, so it's worth experimenting). We use EMAs and not SMAs because they respond more quickly. Here I'm looking at EUJPY on 2hr chart, on 26 April 2013):
3: Is price clearly above or below BOTH moving averages (eg. it's a downtrend and price is below both, or an uptrend and it's above) AND has the 8 EMA crossed over the 34 EMA (crossed to the downside if you're looking at a downtrend). These two factors are a strong confirmation of a trend, if you need one.
4: Once you have confirmed that a trend is in place, switch to your preferred scalping timeframe. I usually use 5m or 1m charts. You'll now see that the 8EMA (which is the only one we're looking at from now on) hugs the price quite closely.
5: If we're in a downtrend, what we are looking for is for price to ideally break through some kind of support, and then to rebound to the 8EMA. It can push through it, even close a whole candle above it, but should eventually move back down below it.
This is your signal to enter short. As you can see from the chart below (same time, 5m chart), it's essential that you determine that there is a trend first and not just some jumping around.
6: The idea is to use relatively small trade sizes, and scale in and out of the trade rapidly. When price extends quite a bit away from the 8EMA, that's the time to take partial profits, wait for a rebound to the 8EMA, and then enter again.
7: The game ends when the 8EMA crosses the 34EMA again, and price is on the other side of both of them
The idea is that, even with strong moves, there are quick pullbacks. This strategy helps to give you an edge in determining where those pullbacks are likely to stop. It's not perfect, but no strategy is. The point is that it gives you a higher probability of entering at a good time (buying relatively low, or selling relatively high), and it also means you can have a lower risk entry (being closer to the last swing high).
Now, I don't get to do a lot of scalping because I have a day job, but I do use this for breakouts, and just any regular old entry as a matter of habit (unless I'm doing a fairly long term trade and 10 pips either way doesn't matter that much to me).
What I will do is wait for a breakout or a strong move in the direction I want. Then I put my Fingertrap template on, and wait for price to "reload" to the moving average before getting in, placing my stop above a nearby swing high. My stop will always be placed while thinking about how long I plan to hold the trade. If I'm looking for a move in GBP/USD from 1.56 down to 1.50, I'm not going to place my stop above the nearby swing high on the 5m chart - I'm going to place it around 1.5650. So you have to use your discretion obviously.
For example, I will be watching EUUSD very closely for a break of 1.3000 or 1.2950, and then employ it from there.
For scalping, the nearby swing high is definitely a good place to put it - if the trade goes that badly away from you, you definitely want to be out.
Give it a try, and let me know if you find it to be helpful! Let me know if you have any questions.
submitted by NormanConquest to Forex [link] [comments]

How To Trade Pullbacks - YouTube How to trade Pullbacks: The Best Entry Strategy  FOREX ... Pullbacks In Forex - Don't Get Crazy Here - YouTube Guide to Trading Pullbacks within a Trend Part 1 👍 - YouTube Master The PULLBACK TRADE (3 Strategies That Make BANK In ... Intraday Breakout Pullback Setup How to Define a Trade Setup & Entry Method on a Pullback Pullback Entry Strategy

Take a look at how to determine the best forex entry methods and the tools for entries. ... In some cases, an opportunity for one group would be an entry for another. A momentum trader might consider a pullback as an opportunity but take the actual entry up to the break of a trend line, whereas the level picker might see use the pullback for an actual entry. PROS AND CONS. There are some ... Breakout entry, Pullback entry: swing setup examples. learn forex trading. April 04, 2015 Tutorials for forex beginners. Breakout and pullback conditions for setups. Before a stock or currency pair makes our breakout “watchlist,” it must satisfy two key cri... Breakout and pullback conditions for setups. Before a stock or currency pair makes our breakout “watchlist,” it must satisfy ... Generally speaking, one can use market entry orders or limit entry orders to enter the market after a pull back. As discussed above, a pullback provides us with a high-probability spot to enter a market, as a blind entry at a predetermined level with a pending limit order or on ‘confirmation’ with confluence which usually means a price action signal, which would be entered on a market ... Pullback Forex Trading Strategies. There are many forex trading strategies that use the pullback trading technique and I’m going to list a few that are on this site: floor traders method; 200 Pips Daily Chart Forex Trading Strategy With 3 EMAs; 20 SMA with RSI forex trading strategy Best Trend Trading Strategy; 20 ema bounce forex trading strategy; fibonacci forex trading strategy with ... New Journal Pre Entry and plan to entry at Pullback Edited Thread Post as entry Post # 2; Quote; Sep 20, 2020 1:36am Sep 20, 2020 1:36am meugampong. Joined Nov 2017 Status: Member 399 Posts. AUD/USD 1.Price Breaking Down Up Line Trend ... what i do as usual, wait for a pullback in the nearest S/R area and then we focus on the action and reaction in that area, so if everything is clear, take the appropriate stance. I hope we are all in profit Why trading pull backs is so profitable, is because markets ebb and flow, and a pull back helps you to refine your entry point so that you are entering at or close to the turning point between the ebb and flow (again, this is not top or bottom picking because we are not trying to predict a trend change).. You won’t always get it exactly right, but this Trend Following strategy is highly ...

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How To Trade Pullbacks - YouTube

Trading pullbacks in Forex can be a good idea if done right. At No Nonsense Forex, there is only one way to do it properly. Discard the rest. Your bottom lin... Hello traders! Glad to see you here! In this short video, I will share with you one of my best approaches to trading simple market structure and namely - Low... On this video I explain how to define a pullback trade setup and an entry method. We explain different ways to decide if and which side to trade and also the different ways to execute the entry ... Trading a Pullback. PLEASE LIKE AND SHARE THIS VIDEO SO WE CAN DO MORE! Going deeper now ... - Read more What is the fundamental pattern of any market that is trending? Depends on the direction, right... Forex Trading: The Pullback Trade Mastery Lesson Part 2 - EAP Mentorship Program - https://eaptrainingprogram.c... Here is an intraday forex price action setup I took, showing the result from my brokers chart View the chart on the site here This short video describes the entry strategy we use each night in our Forex Fortune Hunter trader room. It is effective on all pairs and in many different timeframes. This particular chart is a ...